Seth Godin tells us how Pundits are (nearly) always wrong.

Getting a hit, doing something that is significant, that changes the world, is not easy. You have to stick with it even when people don’t agree, because most ‘experts’ will not believe your idea will succeed. To do that, you need passion and belief in your idea.

“[I]f the right people like it, I’m not trying hard enough.” It’s not easy to live by that belief, but it’s crucial to progress.